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Cuba, Dominican Republic and Panama in 2002

The Greater Caribbean This Week

Norman Girvan

Within the Greater Caribbean there are three countries that do not belong to any of the existing regional economic integration schemes. They are Cuba, the Dominican Republic and Panama; known officially as the Non-Grouped Countries in the Association of Caribbean States (ACS).

 

Panama is a member, and the Dominican Republic an Associate Member, of the Central American Integration System, known by its Spanish acronym SICA. But neither country is a member of the Central American Common Market (CACM). Cuba has trade and cooperation agreements with several states in the region, and is a member of the Latin American Integration Association ALADI. But ALADI is a loose association rather than a true regional integration grouping.

The three countries differ widely in economic structure. In Cuba, the sugar export economy has been displaced by tourism as an export earner. The same is true of the Dominican Republic, but exports of manufactures from industrial free zones have grown rapidly in the past 20 years. Panama remains primarily a service-oriented economy with strong earnings from international banking and the Canal.

Of the three, only the Dominican Republic managed a respectable rate of growth in 2002 (see Table and Chart). After a marked recovery in the second half of the 1990s, the Cuban economy registered its second successive year of declining growth, reflecting weak world market prices for sugar and a tough year for tourism. Panama had virtually no growth, and per capita income fell.

Other indicators were also discouraging. Gross fixed investment was either flat or falling. Inflation increased in 2002, though still within single digit levels. Unemployment is relatively high in the Dominican Republic and Panama.

Cuba's external debt grew by US$1.1 billion as a result of declining export revenues and rising import costs. The debt stock hardly changed in the Dominican Republic and Panama, but both countries experienced net outward transfers of resources to the rest of the world. In other words payments of profits, interest and dividends exceeded the sum of new capital inflows and borrowing by a significant margin.

Nonetheless, on the whole the economic performance in the non-grouped countries was no worse than that of the countries that are members of existing integration schemes. Lack of membership by itself did not make these economies inherently more vulnerable to external shocks; any more than membership by itself provides a form of insulation.

What is crucial is the extent to which the economy has developed of exports of non-traditional goods and services and has a wide spread of external markets.



Non-Grouped Countries Select Economic Indicators 2001 & 2002

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 Cuba

Dominican
Republic

Panama

2001

2002

2001

2002

2001

2002

 

 

 

 

 

 

GDP % Change

2.5

1.4

2.7

4.0

0.4

0.4

GDP per capita % Change

2.1

1.1

1

2.3

-1.1

-1.1

Gross Fixed Investment % change

1.1

-0.1

1.8

5.5

-14

-9.5

Inflation %

-0.5

5.0

4.4

8.8

0.0

1.6

Urban unemployment %

4.1

3.5

15.4

16.1

17.0

16.1

External debt US$ MN

11100

12210

4180

4300

6263

6218

Net resource transfers US $MN

181

-824

88

-418

 

Source: ECLAC data

Professor Norman Girvan is Secretary General of the Association of Caribbean States. The views expressed are not necessarily the official views of the ACS. Feedback can be sent to mail@acs-aec.org.

January 27, 2003

 

Read previous columns:  

 COLUMNS

DATES

Central America in 2002: coffee crisis; remittances to the rescue January 19, 2003
Tough Times in The Group of 3 January 10, 2003
The lost half decade in Latin America and the Caribbean January 3, 2003
2002: Crime and corruption top the political agenda December 27, 2002
From Nafta to Cafta December 20, 2002
Ibero-Americans Mull Secretariat December 13, 2002
Cuba, CARICOM Cement Ties December 9, 2002
ACS raises $1.1 Million December 3, 2002
ACS meets in Belize November 22,
Flood, Sweat and Tears November 15, 2002
Can Caribbean Tourism be Reinvented? November 11, 2002
Wilton Park Conference on Cuba November 1, 2002
Caribbean-Central America Trade October 26, 2002
Two Thirds Of Central Americans Favour Regional Integration October 21, 2002
Facilitating OCT Cooperation October 11, 2002
Europe's Remaining Dependencies October 4, 2002
Be Offensive in Services September 27, 2002
Services In The Island Caribbean: Neglect Them At Your Peril September 20, 2002
Caricom's Trade Negotiations: A Daunting Agenda September 13, 2002
Regional Cooperation in the Private Sector August 31, 2002
National Politics, Regional Economics August 23, 2002
Economic Contraction and Fiscal Crisis in the OECS August 16, 2002
South American Summit: A Strategic Opportunity August 9, 2002
Human Development in the Caribbean August 2, 2002
Problems with UNDP Governance Indicators July 26, 2002
Relaunch of Central American Integration July 19, 2002
The Caribbean Sea is special July 12, 2002
CARICOM and the ACS July 5, 2002

Treatment of Small Economies

June 28, 2002

Economic Performance in the Island Caribbean

June 21, 2002

Rum Talk

June 14, 2002
Multidimensional vs. Military Security June 7, 2002
EU-LAC Summit: Side Shows and Hidden Agendas May 27, 2002
US Farm subsidies will impact the Greater Caribbean May 17, 2002

Globalization not just Economics

May 10, 2002

Tourism must be Sustainable

May 2, 2002

Eu-lac Summit: Civil Society involvement

April 26, 2002
The EU and Central America: Conflicting Agendas April 19, 2002
Europe, Latin America and the Caribbean: a Fragmented Partnership April 12, 2002
Early warning for Natural Disasters April 5, 2002
Monterrey Summit: Promises, Promises? March 28, 2002
NAFTA Parity:Certain Restrictions Apply March 22, 2002
Private Sector Mobilises March 15, 2002
The Future is Here March 8, 2002
Humanising the FTAA March 1, 2002
US-Central America Free Trade Talks February 22, 2002
Carnival realising the potential February 12, 2002
Bridging Caricom and Central America February 6, 2002
Special and Differential Treatment and the WTO February 1, 2002
Protecting the Caribbean sea January 24, 2002
Thinking the unthinkable - nuclear shipments January 17, 2002
Caribbean airline cooperation - A $60 million question January 12, 2002
A matter of Freedom January 4, 2002
Towards the greater Caribbean zone of cooperation December 27, 2001
Opec funding and the ACS December 20, 2001
Consolidating the Greater Caribbean December 13, 2001
Meeting in Margarita December 7, 2001
Aids, Anthrax and the WTO November 29, 2001
The Dilemma of the DOHA: New Round or No? November 22, 2001
Rescuing Caribbean Tourism pt. 2 November 15, 2001
Rescuing Caribbean Tourism pt. 1 November 9, 2001
Business Co-operation and Caribbean Trade
 

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